Tomorrow, New York's 26th congressional district will elect a replacement for Craigslist Congressman Christopher Lee, the Republican who resigned after wooing strangers—including but not limited to transgender hookers—he met on Craigslist. And, according to recent polls, NY-26 might go blue:

The first poll, from Siena College, shows [Democrat Kathy] Hochul with 42 percent of the vote, the Republican Jane Corwin with 38 percent, and Jack Davis—an unorthodox candidate who is running on the Tea Party ballot line but who has been affiliated with both major parties in the past—with 12 percent. The second, from Public Policy Polling, has Ms. Hochul with a 44-to-38 advantage over Ms. Corwin, and Mr. Davis at 13 percent

If Hochul wins, this will be the fourth time since the Civil War that NY-26 elects a Democrat. Let us call this moment in Greater New York history the Missed Connection Election.

Oh, and in case you'd forgotten, Tea Party candidate Jack Davis? Caught on tape slapping the shit out of a constituent a member of his opponent's staff two weeks ago. NY-26 promises not to disappoint. [FiveThirtyEight, WSJ, images of Hochul (L) and Corwin (R) via AP]


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